Friday, August 17, 2007

Confused about Polls?

Why is it everytime some dimwit like Chris Matthews or Tim Russert is faced with a new poll that has a "starting" or "troubling" result they immediately ask (some other journalist inside-baseball type) "What does this mean?" or "Help me figure out what is going on here?" There then follows lengthly unsubstantiated suppositions about what could have possibly been driving the responses.

Newsflash: Tim, Chris, et al,
Polls happen when someone called a Pollster actually asks questions, and records the responses. Polls are not entrails to be divined, nor are they some sort of astological charts to be "interpreted."

If you want to know why the poll "says" something, why don't you ask someone why they said it. You could even ask the pollster himself, although in fairness they do sometimes do this.

I find in infuriating that Matthews will look at a "poll" like this:

Hillary Clinton: How likeable is she?
Yes 39%
No 29%
No answer 30%

and somehow conclude that she has a likeability "problem."

#1 who gives a sh%t?? If some pollster asked me a question this vapid, I would poke him in the eye with a sharp stick.

#2 Why does likeability even matter? Is she running for prom queen? What about competance, experience? I suppose these kind of things only matter to the personal responsibility crowd.

#3 Just for comparison purposes, I ran my own poll. Here it is:

George Bush, likeable?
Yes 0%
no 100%*
no answer 0%

sample size, 1**, margin of error +- 1.
** me

You may insert any name of any candidate in place of George Bush since he is probably not running again. But do you get my point?

#4 Is Chris Matthews illiterate or just retarded to conclude that if the answer is 29% say a candidate in not likeable, that she has a likeability problem?

#5 I suppose it would be impossible to think about why the respondents answered a poll question they way they did. That would mean having to talk to a pleb. Much nicer to have a lovely chit chat with all your millionaire pampered elite media darlings. Who cares if it is meaningless?

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